By Modupe Taylor-Pearce, Ph.D.
Africa’s development debate has been stuck on the wrong question. For years, governments and development institutions have asked: How do we mobilize diaspora capital? The assumption is that the problem is one of access — that if only the right financial instruments were designed, billions of dollars from Africans abroad would flow into infrastructure and development.
But the evidence tells a different story. The real problem is not access. It is trust. Across the continent, diaspora bonds and similar instruments have been proposed, piloted, and promoted. A few have been launched. Fewer still have raised meaningful capital. And even the most celebrated examples fall far short of what is needed. Nigeria’s diaspora bond, often cited as a success, raised $300 million in 2017 and was oversubscribed. That sounds impressive — until you consider that Nigeria’s infrastructure needs run into tens of billions annually and its annual remittances from the diaspora is $20 billion. In that context, $300 million is not a breakthrough; it is a signal of underperformance. The story elsewhere is even more sobering. Ghana’s 2007 diaspora bond targeted GHC50 million but raised only GHC20 million, with just GHC1.1 million coming from the diaspora itself. Ghana’s annual diaspora remittances are $4.6 billion, or GHC 51 billion. Kenya’s 2011 infrastructure bond targeted KES20 billion but reached only 70% subscription; annual remittances from Kenya diaspora are $4.8 billion or KES 624 billion. Ethiopia’s diaspora bond efforts to finance the Grand Renaissance Dam raised $50 million dollars internationally, despite the national importance of the project and the project’s capital requirement of $7 billion.
These are not isolated failures. They are consistent outcomes. They point to a simple but uncomfortable truth: Diaspora investors are not refusing to invest because they lack the funds or the patriotism. They are refusing to invest because the systems they are being asked to trust are not credible enough.
Investors, Not Donors
Diaspora communities are often treated as emotional stakeholders. They are expected to “give back,” to invest out of loyalty, to support national development. But when it comes to investing real money — retirement savings, accumulated wealth, family assets — they behave like rational investors. They ask questions:
- Will my capital be safe?
- Will contracts be enforced?
- Will my returns hold their value?
- Who controls the money after I send it?
In too many African contexts, the answers to these questions are uncertain. And where uncertainty exists, capital stays away.
What Needs to Change
If African countries want to mobilize diaspora capital at scale — not in the hundreds of millions of dollars, but in the billions of dollars — then the solution is not better messaging…it is better structure. Here are five conditions that must be met to achieve large scale diaspora funding:
- Legal Protection Must Be External
In many countries, investors have little confidence that domestic courts can enforce contracts against the state.
That is why diaspora investment vehicles must be governed by trusted international legal systems. Without this, investors are exposed to political and legal risk they cannot control. Ethiopia’s experience illustrates this clearly. Concerns about governance and enforceability were among the reasons diaspora participation remained limited, despite strong national sentiment.
- Capital Must Be Shielded from Political Access
A deeper concern is not just enforcement — it is access.
Diaspora investors worry that once funds enter the domestic system, they can be redirected, delayed, or repurposed.
The only credible solution is structural:
- Funds held outside the country
- Independent custodial arrangements
- Disbursement rules that cannot be overridden politically
- If a government can access the funds against the will of the investors, then the structure has already failed.
- Currency Risk Must Be Addressed Honestly
This is one of the most practical barriers — and one of the most overlooked.
Diaspora investors earn in dollars, pounds, and euros. They are being asked to invest in currencies that often depreciate significantly. Ghana’s diaspora bond was denominated in local currency. The result? Minimal diaspora participation. Kenya’s bond faced similar constraints. This is not a coincidence. It is a design flaw. Any serious diaspora investment instrument must:Be denominated in hard currency, or Provide credible protection against currency depreciation
Without this, investors are being asked to take on risks they neither control nor understand.
- Governance Must Be Independent
Trust collapses when investment vehicles look like extensions of government. Diaspora investors need confidence that:
- Decisions are made professionally
- Funds are managed independently
- Oversight is credible
This is why successful structures globally rely on independent fund managers, supervisory boards composed of citizens and non-citizens, and clear governance frameworks that are insulated from a country’s cultural and political constraints. Without independence, even well-designed instruments will struggle.
- Transparency Must Be Built In, Not Promised
Diaspora investors do not want vague commitments to “development.”
They want:
- Clearly defined projects
- Measurable outcomes
- Regular reporting
- Independent audits
Ethiopia’s dam bond shows that even emotionally compelling projects cannot overcome weak transparency. Trust is not built through speeches. It is built through systems.
From Millions to Billions
The potential is enormous. Diaspora remittances into Africa are already large ($111 billion per year), stable, and resilient. But remittances are only a fraction of diaspora wealth. Savings held abroad are significantly larger. If properly mobilized, diaspora capital for every African country could be 10 to 100 times the size of annual remittances to the country and could finance infrastructure, energy, housing, and industry at scale. Instead, countries celebrate raising a few hundred million dollars. That is not success; that is a missed opportunity.
The lesson from the past decade is clear:
Trust cannot be requested; it must be engineered. Diaspora investors will not commit billions because they are asked to.
They will commit when legal protections are credible, capital is insulated, currency risk is managed, governance is independent, and transparency is real. When these conditions exist, diaspora investment will scale. When they do not, it will not — no matter how many conferences are held or strategies are written.
Closing
African countries do not lack diaspora capital. They lack systems that the diaspora can trust with that capital.
Until that changes, diaspora finance will remain a conversation…not a solution.
About the Author
Dr. Modupe Taylor-Pearce is an African scholar and practitioner of organizational development and leadership. He is a graduate of the US Military Academy, Cornell University and Capella University. He serves as the CEO of BCA Leadership, a pan African leadership enhancement and transformation organization dedicated to the positive transformation of Africa into a high income continent by 2040. BCA provides leadership coaching, training, organizational development consulting, and event management services to clients in all five regions of Africa.
To contact BCA Leadership, go to www.bcaleadership.com or email us, info@bcaleadership.com